Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Taking an early look @ Kentucky Derby 2009

Taking an early look @ ***Kentucky Derby 2009***

There are 172 days until the running of the 135th edition of the Kentucky Derby. The Kentucky Derby this year will be quite intriguing because there has not been a true monster that has established himself yet, although two prospect had began to show signs that they could be the horse. I am speaking of Midshipman and Vineyard Haven, these two are winners of four Grade 1 races between them. Midshipman the Del Mar futurity and the Breeders Cup Juvenile, and Vineyard Haven the winner of the Champagne and the Hopeful Stakes. Godolphin now owns both of these equine athletes and as usual has announced that they will take the Dubai route in trying to win the Derby. This has never worked before and I don’t have any reason to believe that anything different will occur with these horses due to being shipped half way across the world to prep for the hardest race in the world to win. The question is who are the real contenders for the taking of the roses on May 2nd of 2009. The list would have to include some horses that ran in the Breeders Cup Juvi race including 2nd place finisher, Square Eddie, 3rd place finisher Street Hero, and a few others including West Side Bernie, Gallant Son, Silent Valor, Azul Leon, Munnings and Terrain. For those horses whose connections want to keep them out west or running at Keeneland, the real question is will the form from the synthetics transfer to the Dirt at Churchill. The next question is which horse has the running style fitted for a race of this nature with such a large field of horses. The fact is there are a number of horses that haven’t even seen the starting gate yet that will make a large splash in the Triple Crown races, as did the Curlin’s and Big Browns of the world who either only had 1 start or no starts at all as a 2 year old. As we dig deeper into the upcoming prep races that will start up late in January and in February we will break down the list of contenders a bit closer and find out exactly who they are.

The next topic that will be included in Thursday edition of the AAF Blog will be the synthetics and what would happen to horse racing if it were mandated in areas where the Triple Crown Races are run or at Traditional Dirt tracks like Belmont, Monmouth, and Saratoga.

Enjoy

10 comments:

kimmyFAD said...

Hey AAF,
There is a potential monster lurking out there, and he just could be taking the Curlin/BB route. Don't forget that Nicanor is in training and has been sidelined while he finishes growing.

Swale

bornahorseman said...

whoo hoo Square Eddie hes going to be a monster


like your page AAF


Bornahorseman

mark said...

hey alex had the wrong email hit me up on the message board with the other one

http://horseracingmania.freeforums.org/horse-talk-f1.html said...

Nicanor is going to be AMAZING! I just know it! As is Lentenor I hope. I hear there is another full brother (I think they said it was a brother) to him in utero as well.

Good to see you Swale & Born!!!
:-)

Anonymous said...

To win the Kentucky Derby as an owner you have to equate your success with the proverbial finding of a sewing needle in a 10 foot haystack . Not impossible , but highly unlikely . Based on that premise I would say the 2009 winner probably hasn't run a race yet .

Anonymous said...

Dang it I can't remember my password ...The above comment is mine ...Jimsjam33

Susan Watkins said...

I'm looking forward to Nicanor but what about.....OLD FASHIONED.......

Larry said...

I don't think you can begin to think a horse is going to win next years Derby until they've run a few preps next year.
There's just too much we don't know.
And you don't want to fall in love with a Derby horse this early, because it'll effect the way you bet the derby to your detriment.
Fun to talk about of course.
But nothing serious this early.

Anonymous said...

I think its too early to say who will even enter the Derby. So many of the horses that ran well in the 2 year old stakes wont make it to the Derby. I think the potential Derby winner isnt even on anybodies radar yet. Its too soon!!! So much can happen in Feb/March/April....
And dont count out a good NY bred just yet.

Anonymous said...

NOT ONLY WILL "I WANT REVENGE" WIN
THE 2009, MAY 2nd.RACE, BUT CHOCALATE CANDY AND PIONEER OF THE NILE WILL BE AMONG THE SECOND, THIRD OR 4TH PLACE FINISHERS.
HORSE NOT ONLY HAVE TO BE RACED PRIOR TO THE BIG RACE BUT THEY MUST BE 1ST. OR SECOND AND ON EDGE
ON IMPROVING EACH OUTING.
THIS FITS THE PROFILE OF
"I WANT REVENGE", AND WOULD LOVE TO SEE HIM WIN THE TRIPLE CROWN TOO.